Geomagnetic Storms Can Trigger Stroke
Evidence From 6 Large Population-Based Studies in Europe and Australasia
- Valery L. Feigin, MD, MSc, PhD,
- Priya G. Parmar, MSc,
- Suzanne Barker-Collo, PhD,
- Derrick A. Bennett, PhD,
- Craig S. Anderson, MD, PhD,
- Amanda G. Thrift, BSci (Hons), PhD,
- Birgitta Stegmayr, PhD,
- Peter M. Rothwell, MD, PhD,
- Maurice Giroud, MD, PhD,
- Yannick Bejot, MD,
- Phillip Carvil, MSc,
- Rita Krishnamurthi, PhD,
- Nikola Kasabov, PhD,
- for the International Stroke Incidence Studies Data Pooling Project Collaborators
+Author Affiliations
- Correspondence to Valery L. Feigin, MD, MSc, PhD, National Institute for Stroke and Applied Neurosciences, School of Rehabilitation and Occupation Studies, Faculty of Health and Environmental Studies, Auckland University of Technology, AUT N Shore Campus, AA254, 90 Akoranga Dr, Northcote 0627, Private Bag 92006, Auckland 1142, New Zealand. E-mail valery.feigin@aut.ac.nz
Abstract
Background and Purpose—Although the research linking cardiovascular disorders to geomagnetic activity is accumulating, robust evidence for the impact of geomagnetic activity on stroke occurrence is limited and controversial.
Methods—We used a time-stratified case-crossover study design to analyze individual participant and daily geomagnetic activity (as measured by Ap Index) data from several large population-based stroke incidence studies (with information on 11 453 patients with stroke collected during 16 031 764 person-years of observation) in New Zealand, Australia, United Kingdom, France, and Sweden conducted between 1981 and 2004. Hazard ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated.
Results—Overall, geomagnetic storms (Ap Index 60+) were associated with 19% increase in the risk of stroke occurrence (95% CI, 11%–27%). The triggering effect of geomagnetic storms was most evident across the combined group of all strokes in those aged <65 by="" increasing="" risk="" stroke="" years="">50%: moderate geomagnetic storms (60–99 Ap Index) were associated with a 27% (95% CI, 8%–48%) increased risk of stroke occurrence, strong geomagnetic storms (100–149 Ap Index) with a 52% (95% CI, 19%–92%) increased risk, and severe/extreme geomagnetic storms (Ap Index 150+) with a 52% (95% CI, 19%–94%) increased risk (test for trend,P<2 style="border: 0px; font-style: inherit; line-height: 0; margin: 0px; outline-style: none; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: inherit; top: -2px; word-wrap: break-word;" sup="">−162>65>
Conclusions—Geomagnetic storms are associated with increased risk of stroke and should be considered along with other established risk factors. Our findings provide a framework to advance stroke prevention through future investigation of the contribution of geomagnetic factors to the risk of stroke occurrence and pathogenesis.
- Received December 18, 2013.
- Revision received March 10, 2014.
- Accepted March 18, 2014.
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